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Share Christmas vs Weather Effect

Head-to-head on the signals that matter, from the public WordPress.org data.

Weather Effect is the safest pick: health A · 87 against 47 for Share Christmas, led by lower removal risk.

Active-install trajectory

Share ChristmasWeather Effect

Active installs, each indexed to 100 at the start of the window. A line above 100 is growing its install base, below 100 is shrinking.

Metric	Share Christmas	Weather Effect
Active installs Modeled from the public "N+" band and recent downloads.	10–20	4K–5K ✓
Active installs, change over ~6 months Compares the public install bands. One band step shows as the band change, not a percentage.	-80%	5K+ → 4K+ ✓
Overall health	D · 47	A · 87 ✓
Maintenance How recently the plugin was updated.	9/100	100/100 ✓
Rating quality Volume-adjusted review quality.	74/100	83/100 ✓
Support Share of forum threads marked resolved.	70/100	70/100
Rating (weighted for review count)	4.0★	4.3★ ✓
Reviews	1	30 ✓
Ranking optimization How well the listing is tuned to rank on wp.org.	52/100	96/100 ✓
Removal risk Maintenance signals that precede a wp.org closure. Not an official status.	Elevated	Low ✓
Last updated	3.0y ago	1mo ago ✓
Downloads, last 30d	43	1.5K ✓
Download momentum, last 30d vs prior 30d Dips that follow a release spike are normal: wp.org counts every update as a download, so the weeks after a release run lower.	0%	+20%
Install conversion Active installs over lifetime downloads. Downloads include every update, so older and more frequently released plugins read lower.	0.4%	1.5% ✓
Category	Uncategorized	Uncategorized

✓ marks the stronger plugin on each row. Rows where they're level show no marker.

Release activity

Share ChristmasWeather Effect

7-day average daily downloads. Downloads spike for about a week after each release as the install base re-downloads, so read this as release cadence, not growth.