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wp.org search vs our merit ranking: “prediction”

wp.org orders by popularity, so a plugin a host bundled onto millions of sites, or a big-brand one that's slow and mediocre, can sit at the top. Our ranking is built to answer a different question: which of these is actually worth installing. How this works →

For “prediction”, we and wp.org disagree on the top plugin, and our order differs from theirs on 7 of the top 20. 2 plugins are pushed down for signals wp.org ignores: errors, a host-installed base, or removal risk.

wp.org search ranks on

Install count (uncapped), the raw star average, freshness, and support. Popularity dominates, so the biggest install base usually wins regardless of how it got there.

We add

A cap on the install boost, volume-weighted ratings, and signals wp.org can't see: whether it throws errors on current PHP, whether the install base is organic or host-pushed, and its risk of being pulled.

Ranked above its merit

PDF Flipbook, WPBakery Addon – Unreal FlipBook shows at wp.org #8 but places #16 on merit, a gap of 8 places. Its 1K+ installs carry it up the search order; its 3.0★ average from 2 reviews, plus freshness and upkeep, place it lower on our volume-weighted scale.

Buried gem

Kikote – Location Picker at Checkout & Google Address AutoFill Plugin for WooCommerce places #8 on merit, 5.0★ from 65 reviews, but shows at wp.org #15. A smaller install base keeps it further down the default search order than its quality signals alone would.

merit plugin wp.org
1 AfterShip Tracking – All-In-One WooCommerce Order Tracking (Free plan available) 7K+ · 4.8★ (633) wp.org #3 2 too low 2 Football Pool 900+ · 4.9★ (83) wp.org #2 3 Sport Predictions for JoomSport 50+ · 4.6★ (11) wp.org #1 2 too high 4 W World Cup Predictor 100+ · 5.0★ (25) wp.org #4 5 JoomSport – for Sports: Team & League, Football, Hockey & more 1K+ · 4.9★ (44) wp.org #5 6 StoreCustomizer – A plugin to Customize all WooCommerce Pages 20K+ · 4.8★ (127) wp.org #10 ↑2 4 too low 7 Divine Astro 100+ · 4.6★ (11) wp.org #7 8 Kikote – Location Picker at Checkout & Google Address AutoFill Plugin for WooCommerce 1K+ · 5.0★ (65) wp.org #15 ↑1 7 too low 9 Autocomplete Google places 100+ · 5.0★ (3) wp.org #6 3 too high 10 Weather Atlas Widget 8K+ · 4.1★ (41) wp.org #17 7 too low 11 ELEX WooCommerce Address Validation & Google Address Autocomplete Plugin 700+ · 4.2★ (10) wp.org #13 2 too low 12 Achievements sports league 100+ · 5.0★ (6) wp.org #12 ↓1 13 Coronavirus Spread Prediction Tools Free Version 10+ · 5.0★ (2) wp.org #14 1 too low 14 Ultra Addons Lite for Elementor 700+ · 0.0★ (0) wp.org #9 5 too high 15 Amadast Shipping 300+ · 5.0★ (2) wp.org #11 ↓1 4 too high 16 PDF Flipbook, WPBakery Addon – Unreal FlipBook 1K+ · 3.0★ (2) wp.org #8 8 too high 17 Sales Forecast & Inventory Prediction — · 0.0★ (0) wp.org #18 ↑1 1 too low 18 Virtevo Insights — WooCommerce Analytics, Reports & Churn Prediction — · 4.0★ (1) wp.org #16 ↓1 2 too high 19 Sonic KQXS 20+ · 0.0★ (0) wp.org #19 ↓1 20 Plugnition Restock Prediction & Alerts for WooCommerce — · 0.0★ (0) wp.org #21 ↑1 1 too low 21 Smart Pregnancy Calculator Suite 80+ · 0.0★ (0) wp.org #22 1 too low 22 F Football Predictor 10+ · 5.0★ (1) wp.org #20 2 too high 23 FBS StockMind – AI Inventory Management, Predictive Stock Alerts & Reorder Reminders for WooCommerce — · 5.0★ (1) wp.org #23 ↑1 24 Ultimate Bootstrap Elements for Elementor 6K+ · 5.0★ (1) wp.org #24

Merit ranking caps the install boost at 1M (wp.org leaves it uncapped), replaces the raw star average with a volume-weighted Bayesian score and a Wilson lower bound, and keeps wp.org's own freshness and compatibility decays. Method from the plugin-directory source; see Meta Trac #8298. Positions are tracked daily from the first visit to a keyword, so the small arrows show movement since tracking began.